US inflation data came in above forecasts, rising by its highest annual rate since 2008, but there was little reaction from the bond markets. This week will bring the US Federal Reserve meeting, where we will get an insight into the central bank’s current thinking.
US employment numbers were the focus of financial markets, falling short of consensus forecasts, while agricultural commodity prices soared. This week is forecast to bring a further jump in US headline CPI numbers to 4.7%, as well as the monthly meeting of the European Central Bank.
The scale of President Biden’s $6 trillion budget plans impressed the markets. US Federal Reserve members addressed the ‘talking about tapering’ issue, nonetheless failing to lift the US dollar, which hit a three year low against China’s renminbi.
US equity markets made new record highs, spurred on by strong consumer spending, while the post-pandemic bounce saw China’s GDP growth rate hit record levels. This week brings a raft of quarterly earnings from major US companies, such as Johnson & Johnson and Netflix.
Equities rallied as government bond markets were reassured by the US Federal Reserve, with the tech heavy Nasdaq index at the forefront of gains. This week the focus will be on US inflation and retail sales data, as well as the expected rebound in China’s GDP after the pandemic-struck first quarter of 2020.
President Biden’s infrastructure stimulus package, worth $2.25 trillion, stole the headlines and will be much debated in Congress over the coming week. Elsewhere, as strong survey data came through, China’s currency fell to the lowest point since the trade war with the US, on expectations that monetary stimulus measures will soon be withdrawn.