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Archinomics Weekly - Monday 9th August 2021

one month ago

the
MARKETS

Equities

Major US indices set new record highs, with bank shares rising on higher bond yields, although energy shares lagged. European markets rose on strong corporate earnings reports, which also boosted Japanese indices, in spite of escalating Covid-19 cases. Chinese markets saw bargain hunting, after recent sharp falls.

Bonds

US Treasury bond yields climbed later in the week, and prices fell, after strong employment data, although demand for new issuance remained firm. Eurozone yields tracked lower, as the Delta variant spread. Investment grade credit markets weakened, while high yield bonds were supported by positive corporate earnings reports, particularly in the Eurozone.

Currencies

The US dollar firmed against all majors, as Treasury yields rose. Elsewhere, sterling held up against the euro and the yen, as the euro lost ground across the board and the yen was broadly unchanged.

Commodities

Oil saw volatile trading, suffering its sharpest weekly decline so far this year. Gold fell almost 3%, as bond yields moved higher.

Responsible investing

President Biden announced his target for electric vehicles to be 50% of new car sales in the US by 2030.

MACROECONOMIC
UPDATE

US July non-farm payrolls beat forecasts to come in at 943,000, while the unemployment rate fell from 5.9% to 5.4%.


China’s Q2 GDP growth rate fell to 7.9% y/y from 18.3% y/y in Q1, as consumption and services sectors disappointed expectations.


The Bank of England left policy rates unchanged, but outlined a clear pathway for the tapering of its bond buying programme, as rates eventually rise.

on the
RADAR

US July core CPI inflation is forecast to moderate slightly at 4.3%, still driven by pandemic recovery sectors.


The Eurozone ZEW economic sentiment index looks likely to reinforce the moderating growth message seen in July PMI data.

Latest investment news

Insight

Archinomics Weekly - Monday 20th September 2021

Article | Investments | 20/09/2021

Most major stock markets fell last week, as concerns over Covid-19 and economic growth dampened risk sentiment.

Insight

Archinomics Monthly - August 2021

Article | Investments | 17/09/2021

China continued to impose its regulatory clampdown on a widening spread of sectors, from education and tech, to prescription medicine and alcohol, with a view to enhancing ‘common prosperity’. Equities in the targeted sectors fell sharply in response.  

Insight

Archinomics Weekly - Monday 13th September 2021

Article | Investments | 13/09/2021

US equity markets turned more downbeat, on growth and inflation concerns. European markets also edged lower, pulled down by regional economic uncertainty.

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