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Monthly Review - June 2021

3 months ago




S&P 500




FTSE 100


CAC 40


DAX 30


BEL 20






 Source: Bloomberg 30.06.2021
G7 Tax

Tax goes global

The G7 group of nations has agreed a deal for a global minimum tax rate of at least 15%. The new rules will see the largest and most profitable companies paying tax in the countries where they do business, not just where they are registered. This could spell the end of the inventive tax strategies employed by many multi-national companies, such as diverting profits to offshore tax havens. But before coming into effect, the deal needs further backing. Not only the G20 nations, but also the 139 countries of the OECD will have to approve.



High profile cyberattacks are on the increase. Last month, an attack on the Colonial Pipeline caused several days of fuel shortages on the East Coast of the US. It’s known as ‘ransomware’, where hackers encrypt critical files and demand payment in exchange for their safe return. This time the ransom was paid through bitcoin, the currency of choice for hackers due to its anonymous nature. But in a surprise move the FBI was later able to trace the payments and recover $2.3 million of bitcoin from the hackers’ virtual wallets.


Inflation spikes

Inflation in various measures, such as the consumer prices index (CPI), has shot up as global economies reopen. In May the year on year jump in US CPI was 5%, its highest since 2008. Why are these figures so high? Importantly, current prices are being compared to those a year earlier, in the nervous early days of the pandemic. Another reason is the imbalance between increasing demand and the supply bottlenecks plaguing many industries. But questions remain. Is inflation transitory or here to stay? And how should the central banks respond?

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US employment data dominated the agenda, eventually falling short of forecasts and prompting questions over the US Federal Reserve’s tapering plans. This week expectations for US Q3 earnings reports are positive, but the rate of growth is unlikely to match the phenomenal second quarter.

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